SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.57%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 26.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.03%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Sampdoria |
45.57% ( -0.06) | 27.7% ( 0.41) | 26.72% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( -1.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.38% ( -1.62) | 59.61% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% ( -1.26) | 79.94% ( 1.26) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.86% ( -0.77) | 26.14% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.79% ( -1.04) | 61.21% ( 1.04) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( -1.2) | 38.37% ( 1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.87% ( -1.17) | 75.13% ( 1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 13.45% ( 0.52) 2-0 @ 9.03% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.02% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.58% Total : 26.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 38 | 18 | 20 | 42 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 38 |
| 3 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 4 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 5 | Cremonese | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 35 |
| 6 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 18 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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