Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
