Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 41.04%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
