SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
39.01% ( -0.3) | 24.52% ( -0.38) | 36.47% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 59.46% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.55% ( 1.83) | 43.45% ( -1.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( 1.77) | 65.85% ( -1.77) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.66) | 22.23% ( -0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( 0.98) | 55.66% ( -0.98) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.46% ( 1.21) | 23.55% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.4% ( 1.72) | 57.6% ( -1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.48)2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 39.01% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.19)0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.43)3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.34)0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.19)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.13% Total : 36.47% |
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