SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
29.85% ( -0.5) | 24.45% ( -0.31) | 45.7% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.89% ( 1.12) | 45.11% ( -1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.54% ( 1.07) | 67.46% ( -1.07) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.23) | 28.34% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.93% ( 0.29) | 64.07% ( -0.28) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.14% ( 0.81) | 19.86% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.05% ( 1.29) | 51.95% ( -1.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sassuolo | Draw | Lazio |
| 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.3)2-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.85% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.27)3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.45% | 1-2 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.21)0-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 3.96% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.98% Total : 45.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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