SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (10.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
31.29% ( -0.01) | 28.02% ( 0.67) | 40.69% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 46.96% ( -1.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.07% ( -2.45) | 58.93% ( 2.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.58% ( -1.94) | 79.42% ( 1.94) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.59% ( -1.29) | 34.41% ( 1.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.88% ( -1.4) | 71.12% ( 1.4) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( -1.52) | 28.41% ( 1.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.84% ( -1.96) | 64.16% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.58) 2-1 @ 7% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.26% Total : 31.28% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.87)2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.61) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 7.74% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.72% Total : 40.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 38 | 28 | 6 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 90 |
| 2 | Lazio | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 74 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 38 | 23 | 3 | 12 | 71 | 42 | 29 | 72 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 70 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 66 | 48 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 63 |
| 7 | Juventus | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 62 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 43 | 10 | 56 |
| 9 | Bologna | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 53 | 49 | 4 | 54 |
| 10 | Torino | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 53 |
| 11 | Monza | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 52 | -4 | 52 |
| 12 | Udinese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 61 | -14 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 36 |
| R | SpeziaSpezia | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 31 | 62 | -31 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 36 | 69 | -33 | 27 |
| R | Sampdoria | 38 | 3 | 10 | 25 | 24 | 71 | -47 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
