Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 12.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
