MX23RW : Sunday, May 21 19:20:55
SM
Sunday, May 21
IL
Serie A | Gameweek 12
Dec 16, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
San Siro
NL
Inter Milan
1 - 0
Napoli
Lukaku (73' pen.)
Brozovic (57'), Lukaku (80'), Skriniar (85'), D'Ambrosio (88'), Handanovic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bakayoko (59'), Ospina (71'), Lozano (75')
Insigne (71')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
44.81%24.75%30.45%
Both teams to score 56.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.88%46.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.58%68.43%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.35%20.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.77%53.24%
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56%28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8%64.2%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 44.81%
    Napoli 30.45%
    Draw 24.75%
Inter MilanDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.27%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.31%
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-0 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 3.04%
4-1 @ 1.9%
4-0 @ 1.51%
4-2 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 44.81%
1-1 @ 11.65%
0-0 @ 5.88%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 7.39%
1-2 @ 7.33%
0-2 @ 4.64%
1-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.42%
0-3 @ 1.95%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.45%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CNapoli36275473264786
2Juventus35216854282669
3Inter Milan362131267402766
4Lazio35198854282665
5AC Milan361810860421864
6Atalanta BCAtalanta361871159431661
7Roma351781045331259
8Monza361410124646052
9Fiorentina361311124841750
10Bologna361311124845350
11Torino361311123840-250
12Udinese351113114543246
13SassuoloSassuolo36128164456-1244
14Empoli35912143245-1339
15Salernitana35814134356-1338
16Lecce36712173043-1333
17SpeziaSpezia36613173056-2631
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3679202955-2630
19Cremonese36412203266-3424
RSampdoria3639242267-4518
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