Monza have registered fewer touches in the opposition box than any other side in Serie A this season, while Torino rank 17th. It could be a cagey encounter, then, with the injury-hit hosts hoping to grimly grind out at least one point; however, Toro have recruited well and should have too much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.17%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.37% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Torino
37.17% ( -0.41)	28.46% ( 0.03)	34.37% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 46.36% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.01% (

-0.06)

59.99% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.77% (

-0.05)

80.23% (

0.05)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.99% (

-0.28)

31.01% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.68% (

-0.33)

67.32% (

0.34)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.19% (

0.23)

32.81% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.63% (

0.25)

69.37% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Monza 37.17%

Torino 34.36%

Draw 28.45%

Monza	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.91% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 37.17%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.45%	0-1 @ 11.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.36%