SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
49.58% ( -0.58) | 23.36% ( 0.23) | 27.05% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 59.11% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.01% ( -0.78) | 41.98% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.61% ( -0.79) | 64.39% ( 0.79) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.91% ( -0.5) | 17.09% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.72% ( -0.9) | 47.27% ( 0.9) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( -0.15) | 28.71% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.46% ( -0.19) | 64.53% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.63% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.06)Other @ 4.03% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.36% | 1-2 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.48% Total : 27.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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