Lazio 3-2 Roma - Serie A - September 26, 2021 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Roma
44.88%	23.45%	31.67%

Both teams to score 61.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43%

39.57%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08%

61.92%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.02%

17.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.18%

48.82%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.56%

24.43%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.13%

58.87%

Score Analysis

Lazio 44.88%

Roma 31.67%

Draw 23.45%

Lazio	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 9.12% 1-0 @ 7.54% 2-0 @ 6.47% 3-1 @ 5.22% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-0 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.77% Total : 44.88%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 6.42% 0-0 @ 4.39% 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.45%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 6.19% 0-2 @ 4.36% 1-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 3.02% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.75% Total : 31.67%

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	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Inter Milan	19	15	3	1	44	9	35	48
2	Juventus	19	14	4	1	29	12	17	46
3	AC Milan	19	12	3	4	35	20	15	39
4	Fiorentina	19	10	3	6	27	19	8	33
5	Bologna	19	8	8	3	22	16	6	32
6	Atalanta BC Atalanta	19	9	3	7	30	21	9	30
7	Lazio	19	9	3	7	23	20	3	30
8	Roma	19	8	5	6	31	21	10	29
9	Napoli	19	8	4	7	28	24	4	28
10	Torino	19	7	6	6	18	18	0	27
11	Monza	19	6	7	6	19	20	-1	25
12	Genoa	19	5	6	8	20	24	-4	21
13	Lecce	19	4	9	6	20	25	-5	21
14	Sassuolo Sassuolo	19	5	4	10	26	33	-7	19
15	Frosinone Frosinone	19	5	4	10	25	34	-9	19
16	Udinese	19	2	11	6	19	30	-11	17
17	Cagliari Cagliari	19	3	6	10	17	32	-15	15
18	Hellas Verona Hellas Verona	19	3	5	11	16	26	-10	14
19	Empoli	19	3	4	12	10	33	-23	13
20	Salernitana	19	2	6	11	16	38	-22	12

Data Analysis

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