SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
47.25% ( 0.08) | 25.47% ( -0.04) | 27.28% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.03% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.16% ( 0.12) | 72.84% ( -0.12) |
| Lazio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.42% ( 0.09) | 21.58% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.33% ( 0.14) | 54.66% ( -0.14) |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.76% ( 0.04) | 33.24% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.15% ( 0.04) | 69.85% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lazio | Draw | Fiorentina |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 47.24% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 27.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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