Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.
