Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 58%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 21.44% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.86%) and 1-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.
