Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
