While Sassuolo's defence is particularly suspect on the road, their hosts have the disappointment of a cup exit to deal with, plus a European semi-final on the radar; Fiorentina's lack of focus could help the Neroverdi pick up a precious point in their fight to avoid the drop.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw has a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo has a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it is 1-2 (4.53%).
-0.61) 
0.34) 
