Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
