Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
