SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 54.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Villarreal II had a probability of 20.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Villarreal II win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Zaragoza would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Villarreal II |
54.12% ( -0.15) | 25.16% ( 0.04) | 20.72% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 46.42% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.68% ( -0.03) | 55.32% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.47% ( -0.02) | 76.53% ( 0.02) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( -0.07) | 20.44% ( 0.07) |
