SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Zaragoza win with a probability of 44.56%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Tenerife had a probability of 24.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Zaragoza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.16%), while for a Tenerife win it was 0-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Tenerife |
44.56% ( -0.04) | 30.52% ( 0.01) | 24.92% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 37.57% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.09% ( -0.03) | 68.91% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.47% ( -0.02) | 86.53% ( 0.02) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.78% ( -0.04) | 31.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.43% ( -0.05) | 67.57% ( 0.05) |
| Tenerife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.62% ( 0.01) | 45.38% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.77% ( 0.01) | 81.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Zaragoza | Draw | Tenerife |
| 1-0 @ 16.49% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 44.56% | 0-0 @ 14.16% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3% ( -0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 30.51% | 0-1 @ 11.19% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 1.64% Total : 24.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 41 | 21 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 30 | 23 | 72 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 41 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 71 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 47 | 33 | 14 | 70 |
| 4 | Levante | 41 | 17 | 18 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 69 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 41 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 68 |
| 6 | Albacete | 42 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 67 |
| 7 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 16 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 59 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 41 | 16 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 58 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 57 |
| 11 | Burgos | 42 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 54 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 42 | 12 | 17 | 13 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 53 |
| 13 | Leganes | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 37 | 40 | -3 | 53 |
| 14 | Huesca | 41 | 11 | 19 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 52 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 52 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 41 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 51 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 41 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 50 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 42 | 13 | 11 | 18 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 50 |
| 19 | Malaga | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 44 | -7 | 44 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 41 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 41 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 42 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 33 | 66 | -33 | 34 |
| R | LugoLugo | 42 | 6 | 13 | 23 | 27 | 57 | -30 | 31 |
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