SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 22.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Racing de Santander win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Racing de Santander |
52.37% ( -0.37) | 24.92% ( 0.3) | 22.71% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.62% ( -0.8) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.6% ( -1.1) | 52.39% ( 1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.92% ( -0.95) | 74.08% ( 0.95) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.01% ( -0.58) | 19.99% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.82% ( -0.93) | 52.17% ( 0.94) |
| Racing de Santander Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.02% ( -0.55) | 37.98% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.25% ( -0.54) | 74.75% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Racing de Santander |
| 1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.28% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.74% Total : 52.36% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.71% |
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