SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 38.78%. A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 30.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.76%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Cadiz |
38.78% ( -0.43) | 30.87% ( 0.11) | 30.35% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 39.32% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 31.87% ( -0.23) | 68.13% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.98% ( -0.15) | 86.02% ( 0.15) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.39) | 34.24% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( -0.42) | 70.94% ( 0.42) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.8% ( 0.12) | 40.2% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.16% ( 0.11) | 76.84% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.78% | 0-0 @ 13.76% ( 0.12) 1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.86% | 0-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.37% Total : 30.35% |
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