SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Alcorcon had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.65%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Alcorcon win was 0-1 (11.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Andorra would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Alcorcon |
38.07% ( 1.52) | 29.28% ( 1.07) | 32.65% ( -2.6) |
| Both teams to score 43.84% ( -3.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.04% ( -3.92) | 62.96% ( 3.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.56% ( -2.94) | 82.44% ( 2.94) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -1.04) | 31.96% ( 1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.59% ( -1.2) | 68.42% ( 1.21) |
| Alcorcon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.43% ( -3.83) | 35.57% ( 3.83) |
