SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 41.71%. A win for Real Zaragoza had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest Real Zaragoza win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
41.71% ( 0.49) | 28.59% ( -0.02) | 29.7% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 44.79% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( -0.08) | 61.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( -0.06) | 81.26% ( 0.06) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( 0.24) | 29.01% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.09% ( 0.29) | 64.91% ( -0.29) |
| Real Zaragoza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.09% ( -0.41) | 36.91% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.31% ( -0.41) | 73.69% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Real Zaragoza |
| 1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.57% Total : 41.71% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.58% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 29.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leganes | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 5 | 15 | 28 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 25 |
| 3 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Espanyol | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 23 |
| 5 | Levante | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | TenerifeTenerife | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
| 7 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
| 10 | Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 20 |
| 11 | ElcheElche | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 19 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 17 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 17 |
| 14 | Burgos | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 17 |
| 15 | Eldense | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 16 |
| 17 | Albacete | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
| 18 | Villarreal II | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 13 |
| 19 | Amorebieta | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 10 |
| 20 | AlcorconAlcorcon | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 10 |
| 21 | Huesca | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 9 |
| 22 | CartagenaCartagena | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 6 |
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