Cartagena 2-1 Lugo - Segunda Division - October 4, 2020 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Oct 4, 2020 at 7.30pm UK at Estadio Municipal Cartagonova

Zorrilla (29'), Gallar (61')
Zorrilla (1'), Simon (35'), de la Bella (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Angel Carrillo (88')
Seoane (27'), Campabadal (31'), Djalo (67'), Dominguez (69'), Torres (90+6')

Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Cartagena and Lugo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 42.51%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 28.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.54%) and 2-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cartagena would win this match.

Result
Cartagena	Draw	Lugo
42.51%	28.96%	28.53%

Both teams to score 43.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.06%

62.94%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.57%

82.43%

Cartagena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.66%

29.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68%

65.32%

Lugo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.27%

38.72%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.54%

75.46%

Score Analysis

Cartagena 42.51%

Lugo 28.52%

Draw 28.95%

Cartagena	Draw	Lugo
1-0 @ 13.93% 2-0 @ 8.54% 2-1 @ 8.1% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-2 @ 1.57% 4-0 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.48% Total : 42.51%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 11.36% 2-2 @ 3.84% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.95%	0-1 @ 10.77% 1-2 @ 6.27% 0-2 @ 5.11% 1-3 @ 1.98% 0-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.55% Total : 28.52%

Form Guide

Leganes 3-1 Cartagena

Cartagena 0-1 Sporting Gijon

Real Oviedo 0-0 Cartagena

Cartagena 2-4 Girona

Cartagena 1-1 UD Logrones (4-5 pen.)

Don Benito 0-1 Cartagena

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Segunda Division Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Eibar Eibar	32	18	8	6	37	25	12	62
2	Granada	32	17	7	8	43	23	20	58
3	Las Palmas Las Palmas	32	15	13	4	38	21	17	58
4	Levante	32	14	14	4	35	22	13	56
5	Alaves Alaves	32	15	9	8	39	27	12	54
6	Albacete	32	13	12	7	40	34	6	51
7	Cartagena Cartagena	33	13	8	12	38	36	2	47
8	Burgos	32	11	13	8	25	20	5	46
9	Villarreal II	32	12	8	12	38	40	-2	44
10	Huesca	32	9	15	8	29	27	2	42
11	Tenerife Tenerife	32	10	11	11	31	31	0	41
12	FC Andorra FC Andorra	32	11	7	14	33	29	4	40
13	Mirandes Mirandes	32	10	10	12	38	41	-3	40
14	Leganes	32	10	10	12	27	30	-3	40
15	Real Zaragoza Zaragoza	32	9	12	11	27	30	-3	39
16	Real Oviedo	32	10	9	13	20	25	-5	39
17	Racing de Santander Racing	32	9	11	12	26	29	-3	38
18	Sporting Gijon Sporting Gijon	32	8	13	11	30	34	-4	37
19	Ponferradina Ponferradina	32	7	12	13	27	40	-13	33
20	Malaga	32	5	12	15	26	37	-11	27
21	UD Ibiza	32	5	10	17	25	48	-23	25
22	Lugo Lugo	33	5	10	18	21	44	-23	25