Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 38.65%. A draw had a probability of 32.3% and a win for Alcorcon had a probability of 29.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.08%) and 1-2 (6.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.91%), while for an Alcorcon win it was 1-0 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
