SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Levante had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Levante win was 0-1 (11.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Levante |
37.18% ( 0.11) | 28.84% ( -0.03) | 33.97% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 45.23% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.65% ( 0.09) | 61.35% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.74% ( 0.06) | 81.25% ( -0.06) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.31% ( 0.11) | 31.68% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.9% ( 0.13) | 68.1% ( -0.13) |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.21% ( -0.01) | 33.78% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.55% ( -0.01) | 70.45% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Levante |
| 1-0 @ 12.3% 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 37.18% | 1-1 @ 13.35% 0-0 @ 10.7% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 66 |
| 2 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 28 | 15 | 65 |
| 3 | Granada | 37 | 19 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 27 | 19 | 64 |
| 4 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 63 |
| 5 | Levante | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Albacete | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 58 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 56 |
| 8 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 51 |
| 9 | Burgos | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 12 | MirandesMirandes | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 48 |
| 13 | TenerifeTenerife | 37 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 47 |
| 14 | Huesca | 37 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 47 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 47 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Leganes | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 46 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 19 | Malaga | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 39 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 27 |
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