Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.