Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.