SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 24.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Motherwell would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
50.92% ( -0.82) | 24.57% ( 0.22) | 24.51% ( 0.61) |
| Both teams to score 52.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.65% ( -0.34) | 49.34% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.6% ( -0.31) | 71.39% ( 0.31) |
| Motherwell Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.46) | 19.38% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.82% ( -0.76) | 51.18% ( 0.76) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.35% ( 0.35) | 34.65% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.62% ( 0.37) | 71.37% ( -0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motherwell | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.99% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.12% Total : 24.51% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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