SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 53.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
53.26% ( 0.49) | 24.42% ( -0.17) | 22.32% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 50.64% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.19% ( 0.35) | 50.81% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.3% ( 0.31) | 72.7% ( -0.3) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( 0.33) | 19.02% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.41% ( 0.54) | 50.59% ( -0.54) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.54% ( -0.11) | 37.47% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.75% ( -0.11) | 74.25% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.82% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.25% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.73% ( 0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.42% | 0-1 @ 7% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.65% Total : 22.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| 10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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