Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Johnstone would win this match.
