Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 45.74%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
