SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 88.03%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 3.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 4-0 (10.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.98%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 0-1 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
88.03% ( -2.11) | 8.42% ( 1.4) | 3.55% ( 0.71) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.15% ( -3.65) | 25.85% ( 3.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.98% ( -4.86) | 46.02% ( 4.86) |
| Celtic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.26% ( -0.84) | 3.74% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 83.99% ( -2.88) | 16.01% ( 2.89) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.91% ( 0.49) | 56.09% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 11.48% ( 0.28) | 88.52% ( -0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
| 3-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 1.06)4-0 @ 10.19% ( -0.55)3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.27)1-0 @ 6.89% ( 1.09)5-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.92)2-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.7)4-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 3.88% ( -0.46)6-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.83)6-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.11)7-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.55)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.12)7-1 @ 1% ( -0.3)Other @ 3.62% Total : 88.02% | 1-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.68) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.23)Other @ 0.45% Total : 8.42% | 0-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.18% Total : 3.55% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| First Phase | |||||||||
| C | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
| 2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
| 3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
| 4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
| 6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
| 7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
| 8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
| 9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
| R | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
| 12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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