SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartans win with a probability of 52.4%. A win for Peterhead had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartans win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Peterhead win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spartans | Draw | Peterhead |
52.4% ( 0.95) | 23.17% ( -0.4) | 24.44% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% ( 1.27) | 43.36% ( -1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.24% ( 1.24) | 65.76% ( -1.24) |
| Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( 0.81) | 16.57% ( -0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.65% ( 1.45) | 46.35% ( -1.45) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0.23) | 31.47% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.14% ( 0.27) | 67.86% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spartans | Draw | Peterhead |
| 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 8.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.27% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.25% Total : 52.4% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.16% | 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.3)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.15)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.73% Total : 24.44% |
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