SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forfar Athletic win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.82% ( 0.01) | 25.77% ( 0.01) | 35.4% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.92% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.75% ( -0.04) | 49.25% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( -0.04) | 71.3% ( 0.03) |
| Forfar Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( -0.02) | 24.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.45% ( -0.02) | 59.54% ( 0.02) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.15% ( -0.03) | 26.84% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -0.04) | 62.14% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Forfar Athletic | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% 2-0 @ 6.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.66% Total : 38.82% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.04% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.4% |
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