SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for Clyde had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Clyde win was 1-0 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Clyde | Draw | East Fife |
27.86% ( 0.11) | 25.58% ( 0.34) | 46.56% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 52.45% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.96% ( -1.31) | 51.04% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.1% ( -1.16) | 72.9% ( 1.17) |
| Clyde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( -0.61) | 32.83% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.61% ( -0.69) | 69.39% ( 0.69) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.09% ( -0.74) | 21.92% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.82% ( -1.14) | 55.18% ( 1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Clyde | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 1.66% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.86% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.23% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.3% Total : 46.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 20 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | PeterheadPeterhead | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | Spartans | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 32 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 24 | 10 | 31 |
| 5 | Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticBonnyrigg Rose | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | StranraerStranraer | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 37 | -13 | 22 |
| 7 | East FifeEast Fife | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 21 |
| 8 | Forfar AthleticForfar | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 20 |
| 9 | Elgin CityElgin | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 36 | -20 | 18 |
| 10 | Clyde | 19 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 13 |
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