SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 56.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 2-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
21.53% ( 0.13) | 21.76% ( 0.3) | 56.71% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.21% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -1.21) | 40.25% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( -1.26) | 62.62% ( 1.27) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( -0.57) | 32.28% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( -0.65) | 68.78% ( 0.66) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.96% ( -0.53) | 14.04% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.4% ( -1.06) | 41.6% ( 1.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.21)2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 21.53% | 1-1 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 8.74% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 5.72% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 3.17% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.25% ( -0.07)0-5 @ 1.1% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.25% Total : 56.71% |
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