SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-2 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
40.66% ( -0.1) | 24.84% ( 0.01) | 34.5% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.99% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.78% ( -0.02) | 45.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.44% ( -0.02) | 67.56% ( 0.02) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.8% ( -0.06) | 22.2% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.39% ( -0.09) | 55.61% ( 0.09) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.54% ( 0.05) | 25.47% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.7% ( 0.06) | 60.3% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen of the South | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 40.66% | 1-1 @ 11.63% 2-2 @ 5.99% 0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.84% | 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 34.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 36 |
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 34 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 21 |
| 5 | Montrose | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 20 |
| 6 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 17 |
| 7 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 14 |
| 8 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 13 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 10 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 9 |
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