SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montrose win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Queen of the South had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montrose win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Queen of the South win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
42.68% ( 0.04) | 24.33% ( -0) | 32.99% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 59.38% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.78% ( 0.01) | 43.22% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.38% ( 0.01) | 65.61% ( -0.01) |
| Montrose Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.02) | 20.4% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.17% ( 0.03) | 52.82% ( -0.03) |
| Queen of the South Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.6% ( -0.02) | 25.4% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.79% ( -0.02) | 60.21% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montrose | Draw | Queen of the South |
| 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.47% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 42.68% | 1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.18% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.32% | 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 32.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 21 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 51 | 13 | 38 | 53 |
| 2 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 13 | 30 | 44 |
| 3 | Cove Rangers | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 29 | 7 | 33 |
| 4 | Montrose | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 26 |
| 5 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Kelty Hearts | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
| 7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
| 8 | Stirling AlbionStirling | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 22 |
| 9 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 20 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 13 |
| 10 | Edinburgh CityEdinburgh | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 10 |
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