SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Elgin City |
43.45% ( 4.87) | 23.76% ( -0.59) | 32.79% ( -4.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.36% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.4% ( 1.95) | 40.59% ( -1.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.02% ( 1.97) | 62.97% ( -1.98) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.02% ( 3.06) | 18.98% ( -3.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.48% ( 4.86) | 50.52% ( -4.87) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( -1.46) | 24.26% ( 1.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.37% ( -2.1) | 58.62% ( 2.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Elgin City |
| 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.51) 1-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.61)3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.71)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.37)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.63)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.45)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.27)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0.37)Other @ 3.39% Total : 43.45% | 1-1 @ 10.83% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 6.38% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.43)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.75% | 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.63) 0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.91)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.88)1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.47)2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.53)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.23)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.82% Total : 32.79% |
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