SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 14.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.6%) and 0-1 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Elgin City | Draw | Hibernian |
14.46% ( 0.04) | 17.95% ( 0.02) | 67.59% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 57.51% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.53% ( 0.01) | 34.47% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.6% ( 0.02) | 56.39% ( -0.02) |
| Elgin City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( 0.06) | 36.54% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% ( 0.06) | 73.32% ( -0.07) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.63% ( -0.01) | 9.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.44% ( -0.02) | 31.56% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elgin City | Draw | Hibernian |
| 2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 3.45% ( 0)2-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.46% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.42% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 0.21% Total : 17.95% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.63% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.57% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 4.51% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.84% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.27% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)2-5 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 4.59% Total : 67.59% |
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