SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.63%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Hibernian |
40.63% ( 0.47) | 26.04% ( 0.19) | 33.33% ( -0.66) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.26% ( -0.95) | 50.74% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( -0.84) | 72.64% ( 0.85) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -0.18) | 24.65% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.84% ( -0.26) | 59.16% ( 0.26) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( -0.88) | 28.84% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( -1.11) | 64.7% ( 1.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Hibernian |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 4.05% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 40.63% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.61% Total : 33.33% |
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