Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
