SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.02%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
36.47% ( 0.16) | 24.88% ( 0.02) | 38.65% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.86% ( -0.09) | 45.14% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( -0.09) | 67.48% ( 0.09) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.68% ( 0.04) | 24.31% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.3% ( 0.06) | 58.7% ( -0.07) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.13) | 23.16% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( -0.2) | 57.04% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.84% 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.65% |
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