SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 46%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 29.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
46% ( -0.1) | 24.48% ( 0.03) | 29.52% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( -0.1) | 45.4% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.27% ( -0.1) | 67.73% ( 0.1) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.16% ( -0.08) | 19.84% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.07% ( -0.14) | 51.93% ( 0.14) |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.3% ( -0) | 28.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( -0) | 64.53% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Queen's Park |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 46% | 1-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.47% | 1-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.62% Total : 29.52% |
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