SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 53.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Ayr United had a probability of 22.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for an Ayr United win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
53.69% ( 0.18) | 23.55% ( -0.06) | 22.76% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.89% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.23% ( 0.13) | 46.78% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.97% ( 0.12) | 69.04% ( -0.12) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.65% ( 0.12) | 17.35% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.27% ( 0.2) | 47.74% ( -0.2) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.2% ( -0.04) | 34.8% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.46% ( -0.04) | 71.54% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.76% Total : 53.68% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.55% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.06% Total : 22.76% |
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