SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
38.12% ( -0.1) | 26.25% ( 0.08) | 35.63% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.34% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.7% ( -0.34) | 51.29% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.88% ( -0.29) | 73.12% ( 0.3) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( -0.21) | 26.25% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.64% ( -0.28) | 61.35% ( 0.29) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% ( -0.15) | 27.68% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.76% ( -0.19) | 63.24% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.25% | 0-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 35.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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