SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Ayr United had a probability of 28.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Ayr United win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
45.16% ( 0.02) | 26.13% ( 0.21) | 28.71% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.31% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.2% ( -0.95) | 52.8% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( -0.82) | 74.42% ( 0.83) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.7% ( -0.4) | 23.3% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.75% ( -0.59) | 57.25% ( 0.59) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( -0.67) | 33.1% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.31% ( -0.75) | 69.69% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Ayr United |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 33 |
| 2 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 33 | 6 | 27 | 31 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 18 |
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 17 |
| 6 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 13 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 12 |
| 10 | Greenock MortonMorton | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 8 |
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