SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
43.15% ( -0.42) | 25.52% ( 0.32) | 31.32% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -1.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.85% ( -1.36) | 49.15% ( 1.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.78% ( -1.24) | 71.21% ( 1.23) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.31% ( -0.78) | 22.69% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.65% ( -1.16) | 56.34% ( 1.16) |
| Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.63% ( -0.62) | 29.36% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.65% ( -0.76) | 65.34% ( 0.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Inverness Caledonian Thistle |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 7.33% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.14)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 40 |
| 2 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 34 | 7 | 27 | 35 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 28 |
| 4 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 21 |
| 5 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 18 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 7 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 17 |
| 8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
| 9 | Arbroath | 15 | 5 | 0 | 10 | 20 | 30 | -10 | 15 |
| 10 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 14 |
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